Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 0.008282 0.009730 0.011467 0.013735 0.016672 0.020420 0.025692
2025-08-17 0.006113 0.007708 0.009828 0.012953 0.017630 0.024725 0.037116
2025-08-24 0.004978 0.006555 0.008792 0.012364 0.018288 0.028541 0.050047
2025-08-31 0.004431 0.006053 0.008485 0.012657 0.020279 0.035338 0.074032
2025-09-07 0.003900 0.005465 0.007907 0.012321 0.021000 0.040091 0.098857
2025-09-14 0.003459 0.004942 0.007329 0.011826 0.021221 0.043884 0.126577
2025-09-21 0.003182 0.004638 0.007055 0.011813 0.022422 0.050841 0.179037
2025-09-28 0.003027 0.004508 0.007054 0.012314 0.024968 0.063528 0.297333
2025-10-05 0.002958 0.004510 0.007281 0.013335 0.029265 0.086441 0.630774
2025-10-12 0.002825 0.004383 0.007246 0.013775 0.032242 0.108625 1.297744
2025-10-19 0.002640 0.004144 0.006960 0.013573 0.033244 0.123642 2.349029
2025-10-26 0.002494 0.003962 0.006764 0.013546 0.034834 0.144975 5.440006
2025-11-02 0.002305 0.003697 0.006399 0.013104 0.035146 0.162138 14.506012
2025-11-09 0.002110 0.003406 0.005950 0.012376 0.034196 0.170275 38.879748
2025-11-16 0.001952 0.003171 0.005593 0.011823 0.033716 0.182666 240.561564
2025-11-23 0.001875 0.003087 0.005545 0.012099 0.036766 0.238970 NaN
2025-11-30 0.001763 0.002923 0.005305 0.011783 0.037149 0.270546 NaN
2025-12-07 0.001651 0.002751 0.005031 0.011317 0.036658 0.291388 NaN
2025-12-14 0.001580 0.002655 0.004916 0.011305 0.038387 0.359115 NaN
2025-12-21 0.001545 0.002629 0.004956 0.011776 0.043004 0.531793 NaN
2025-12-28 0.001538 0.002658 0.005132 0.012735 0.051454 1.008475 NaN
2026-01-04 0.001501 0.002621 0.005141 0.013148 0.057168 1.683965 NaN
2026-01-11 0.001436 0.002522 0.004988 0.012959 0.058607 2.223833 NaN